Base Breeding Data 3.0

Base Breeding Data 3.0
Posted 2020-11-30 22:20:15 (edited) #189601 Hello everyone! Thread one's owner is mostly inactive, and thread two's owner was banned. Thanks to both OPs and everyone who submitted data, here's thread three! To enter your data, just share the two bases you bred, and the bases of their pups! I'm not collecting eye data, but someone else is here. These stats should be current up to the week or so, and you can consult the spreadsheet for more info. Data Analysis: Initial data analysis is based on Skudde's infographic and the estimates in the Grouse House Genetics Guide. All data from Threads one and two has been entered. [Stats will be updated every 100 pups or so. Last updated 01/17/2020, 7:30pm central] Current data count: 2403 pups! If the different Tier I categories (Tier I Common and Tier I Breed Only) are treated as identical for inheritance purposes, the pup inherits the exact color rarity (Tier I Common, Tier I Breed Only, Tier II) from one of the parents 88.10% of the time, and a different rarity 11.90% of the time. 89.06% of the time, the pup inherits the color type (monochrome, muted, warm, or cool) from one of the parents. 10.94% of the time, the pup inherits a color type different from either parent. 84.44% of the time, the pup inherits the color value (light, medium, dark) from one of the parents. 15.56% of the time, the pup inherits a color value different from either parent. All of these are trending upwards as more data is collected; I'm hypothesizing that Tier and Color Type will be 90%/10% splits, but I'm less certain about Color Value. I am looking for crosses that have been reported but not confirmed: Cool x Cool = Monochrome Cool x Monochrome = Muted Monochrome x Monochrome = Cool Monochrome x Muted = Cool Muted x Warm = Monochrome Warm x Warm = Muted Light x Light = Medium Light x Light = Dark Light x Medium = Dark Medium x Dark = Light Dark x Dark = Medium	AshtaraSilunar #29448

Posted 2020-11-30 22:20:15 (edited)

#189601

Hello everyone! Thread one's owner is mostly inactive, and thread two's owner was banned. Thanks to both OPs and everyone who submitted data, here's thread three!

To enter your data, just share the two bases you bred, and the bases of their pups! I'm not collecting eye data, but someone else is here.

These stats should be current up to the week or so, and you can consult the spreadsheet for more info.

Data Analysis:

Initial data analysis is based on Skudde's infographic and the estimates in the Grouse House Genetics Guide. All data from Threads one and two has been entered. [Stats will be updated every 100 pups or so. Last updated 01/17/2020, 7:30pm central]

Current data count: 2403 pups!

If the different Tier I categories (Tier I Common and Tier I Breed Only) are treated as identical for inheritance purposes, the pup inherits the exact color rarity (Tier I Common, Tier I Breed Only, Tier II) from one of the parents 88.10% of the time, and a different rarity 11.90% of the time.
89.06% of the time, the pup inherits the color type (monochrome, muted, warm, or cool) from one of the parents. 10.94% of the time, the pup inherits a color type different from either parent.
84.44% of the time, the pup inherits the color value (light, medium, dark) from one of the parents. 15.56% of the time, the pup inherits a color value different from either parent.
All of these are trending upwards as more data is collected; I'm hypothesizing that Tier and Color Type will be 90%/10% splits, but I'm less certain about Color Value.

I am looking for crosses that have been reported but not confirmed:
Cool x Cool = Monochrome
Cool x Monochrome = Muted
Monochrome x Monochrome = Cool
Monochrome x Muted = Cool
Muted x Warm = Monochrome
Warm x Warm = Muted

Light x Light = Medium
Light x Light = Dark
Light x Medium = Dark
Medium x Dark = Light
Dark x Dark = Medium

AshtaraSilunar
#29448

Posted 2020-11-30 22:20:25 (edited)

#189602

Here's the layout for what colors are in each tier, color type, and color value.
The statistics for how each is inherited will be in the next few posts.
(Sorry, we have too much data to list everything out. If we can collect enough data for all combinations, that's going to be 118 x 118 combos, and I don't want to list out 13924 lines of combinations.)

Tier I Colors

	Light	Medium	Dark
Monochrome	Dust Quartz Snow White	Ashen Birch Gray Lighter Howlite	Black Gray Gray Darker Jet
Muted	Apricot Beige Cream Lighter Shell	Cream Cream Darker Honey Willow	Caramel Chestnut Chocolate Dark Brown
Warm	Gold Lighter Goldenrod Magnolia Tumbleweed	Brass Gold Gold Darker Red	Amber Brown Henna Liver
Cool	Glaucous Honeydew	Blue Khaki	Marengo Skarn

Tier II

	Light	Medium	Dark
Monochrome	Melchior Nepheline Rime Siqoq Titanium	Acanthite Chert Silver Steele Sterling	Biotite Obsidian Onyx Pewter
Muted	Almond Buff Feldspar Isabel Peach	Antler Blonde Sandy Tuff Vanilla	Cocoa Ebony Oroide Pecan Sepia
Warm	Arkose Calcite Ducat Jacinthe Yellow	Doubloon Rust Saffron Sulphur Tawny	Auburn Dinar Dravite Russet Sarder
Cool	Lavender Pale Sky	Diorite Galena Maltese	Denim Lilac Nocturne

Tier III

	Light	Medium	Dark
Monochrome	Argent Chromium	Flint Striped Flint	Iridium Slate
Muted	Teardrop Zircon	Lily Pearl	Bronze Seal
Warm	Piasa Tombac	Mojave Wulfenite	Pyrope Realgar
Cool	Opal	Grulla	Serpentine

Special

Almandine

AshtaraSilunar
#29448

Posted 2020-11-30 22:21:08 (edited)

#189605

Tier Inheritance

I'll list the Grouse House Genetics predictions, and what our data shows so far here.

Tier I x Tier I: [689 data points]
Predicted: 100% Tier I
Actual: 100.00% Tier I

Tier I x Tier II: [1085 data points]
Predicted: 90% Tier I, 10% Tier II
Actual: 82.67% Tier I, 17.33% Tier II

Tier I x Tier III: [3 data points]
Predicted: 74% Tier I, 25% Tier II, 1% Tier III
Actual: 33.33% Tier 1, 66.67% Tier II, 0.00% Tier III
***Please note: data insufficient to reflect odds

Tier II x Tier II: [587 data points]
Predicted: 60% Tier I, 40% Tier II
Actual: 47.36% Tier I, 52.64% Tier II

Tier II x Tier III: [39 data points]
Predicted: 49% Tier I, 50% Tier II, 1% Tier III
Actual: 15.38% Tier I, 43.59% Tier II, 41.03% Tier III
***Please note: data insufficient to reflect odds

Tier III x Tier III: [0 data points]
Predicted: 50% Tier I, 40% Tier II, 10% Tier III
Actual: No data yet

AshtaraSilunar
#29448

Posted 2020-11-30 22:21:18 (edited)

#189606

Color Type Inheritance

I'll list the Grouse House Genetics predictions, and what our data shows so far here. [Last updated 01/17/21]

Cool x Cool: [181 records]
Predicted: 100% Cool
Actual: 100% Cool

Cool x Monochrome: [426 records]
Predicted: 50% Cool, 50% Monochrome
Actual: 48.12% Cool, 50.94% Monochrome

Cool x Muted: [133 records]
Predicted: 50% Cool, 5% Monochrome, 45% Muted
Actual: 48.12% Cool, 5.26% Monochrome, 46.62% Muted

Cool x Warm: [261 records]
Predicted: 30% Cool, 10% Monochrome, 30% Muted, 30% Warm
Actual: 29.12% Cool, 13.41% Monochrome, 27.59% Muted, 39.89% Warm

Monochrome x Monochrome: [287 records]
Predicted: 100% Monochrome
Actual: 100.00% Monochrome

Monochrome x Muted: [180 records]
Predicted: 50% Monochrome, 50% Muted
Actual: 51.67% Monochrome, 48.33% Muted

Monochrome x Warm: [375 records]
Predicted: 33% Monochrome, 33% Muted, 33% Warm
Actual: 31.20% Monochrome, 32.80% Muted, 36.00% Warm

Muted x Muted: [91 records]
Predicted: 10% Cool, 10% Monochrome, 70% Muted, 10% Warm
Actual: 5.49% Cool, 9.89% Monochrome, 78.02% Muted, 6.59% Warm

Muted x Warm: [212 records]
Predicted: 10% Monochrome, 45% Muted, 45% Warm
Actual: 1.89% Monochrome, 48.11% Muted, 50.00% Warm

Warm x Warm: [264 records]
Predicted: 100% Warm
Actual: 100.00% Warm

Special x Special:
Predicted: Extremely low % Special, Unknown % any other color group
Actual: No data yet

Special x Any:
Predicted: Very low % Special, Very high % base from second parent
Actual: No data yet

*Some records have been removed pending confirmation. See page four for a detailed list.

AshtaraSilunar
#29448

Posted 2020-11-30 22:21:26 (edited)

#189607

Color Value Inheritance

I'll list the Grouse House Genetics predictions, and what our data shows so far here. [Last updated 01/17/21]

Light x Light: [422 data points]
Predicted: 100% Light
Actual: 100.00% Light

Light x Medium: [363 data points]
Predicted: 50% Light, 50% Medium
Actual: 52.07% Light, 47.93% Medium

Light x Dark: [606 data points]
Predicted: 25% Light, 50% Medium, 25% Dark
Actual: 29.87% Light, 45.54% Medium, 24.59% Dark

Medium x Medium: [204 data points]
Predicted: 25% Light, 50% Medium, 25% Dark
Actual: 21.08% Light, 51.96% Medium, 26.96% Dark

Medium x Dark: [402 data points]
Predicted: 50% Medium, 50% Dark
Actual: 48.51% Medium, 51.49% Dark

Dark x Dark: [405 data points]
Predicted: 100% Dark
Actual: 100.00% Dark

*Some records have been removed pending confirmation. See page four for a detailed list.

AshtaraSilunar
#29448

Posted 2020-11-30 22:21:34

#189608

Reserved post 4

AshtaraSilunar
#29448

Posted 2020-11-30 22:21:51

#189609

Reserved post 5-- this should be enough, I hope!

AshtaraSilunar
#29448

Posted 2020-11-30 23:55:20 (edited)

#189747

Heres a few of my recent breedings:

Denim x Dinar = Dinar, Sepia, Caramel, Sphalerite

Tumbleweed x Ebony = Liver, Honey, Willow

Caramel x Lilac = Marengo

Nocturne x Dinar = Cocoa, Pewter, Jet, Chocolate

~~Will edit with my 2 other litters due this rollover^^~~

Ebony x Ebony = Ebony, Pecan, Caramel

Melchior x Pale = Pale, Dust, White

Voodoo
#6371

Posted 2020-12-01 01:08:15

#189847

Awesome, thanks!

AshtaraSilunar
#29448

Posted 2020-12-01 05:54:31

#189994

This is awesome! Thanks for making a new one. Here are some of my recent breedings.

Chestnut x Ebony = Chestnut, Dark Brown, Chocolate

Lilac x Apricot = Honey, Blue, Honeydew

Shell x Pale = Pale, Beige, Glaucous

Skarn x Siqoq = Jet, Skarn, Black, Grey Darker, Khaki

Quartz x Beige = Snow, Quartz

Apricot x Beige = Shell

Amber x Grey = Henna

Henna x Beige = Red, Brass

Blue x Onyx = Skarn, Black

Grey x Onyx = Grey Darker, Black, Grey

(Once I get my stud up for studding I'll try to give all the info about the pups!)

Papí
#18205

Base Breeding Data 3.0

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